Bookmakers say Arne Slot’s Liverpool can win the Premier League again this season. They are also considered certain to qualify for the Champions League. For punters, this makes exploring markets like the Liverpool First Half Goals Betting Strategy especially appealing, given the team’s attacking consistency.
Oddsmakers have priced Liverpool at even odds to collect 82 points or more this season. Last season, they managed 84 while losing only four matches. They have adapted well to Arne Slot since Jurgen Klopp left. Their goals scored and goals allowed have been stable over the last two or three seasons.
Arsenal seem to be the top challengers. Markets give them a good chance of scoring 79 or more points. That would leave them a few points shy of Liverpool.
Early Season Fixtures: Where to Back Liverpool
Liverpool has a tough start. They face Newcastle, Arsenal, and rivals Everton in their first five games.
A bet on the Reds to win their opener could pay off. They cruised past Bournemouth 3-0 last year, and the Cherries appear even weaker now.
It might be smart to avoid early punts on the Newcastle and Arsenal games. Safer bets could come against Burnley and Everton, where Liverpool should have the edge.
The Clarets won’t put up much fight. Meanwhile, David Moyes’s Everton are keen to sign new players. Everton haven’t capitalized on the momentum Moyes generated in the latter half of 24/25.
Player Focus
Across three of his last four campaigns, Florian Wirtz has hit 10+ assists. He has also surpassed his expected assists by 5.9, 2.8, 2.1, and 2.3.
Wirtz is regarded as one of the brightest young midfield talents in world football. He got Liverpool to pay more than £100m. This broke their transfer record to sign him from Bayer Leverkusen. He’s expected to play with attacking freedom under Arne Slot. Gravenberch and Mac Allister will provide solid defensive support. Operating behind the striker, Wirtz will look to supply chances for finishers like Salah and Ekitike. Based on his last four seasons, there’s good reason to back him in his debut season in England.
The main worry is how well he adapts to English football. This might explain the lower chance. Yet, it’s still worth a bet.
Value Outright
Betting on Liverpool to win the Premier League title again looks like a smart choice. With implied probabilities over 90% and 94%, there’s not much value in betting on the Reds to finish in the top four or six.
Oddsmakers see Arne Slot’s team with a 36% chance to defend their title. This seems low, especially since they added Hugo Ekitike to the squad.
On top of that, Alexander Isak is being linked with a potential record-breaking transfer from Newcastle. A Liverpool attack boasting Salah, Ekitike, and Isak would be very tough to bet against.
Liverpool keeps strengthening their first team while also boasting impressive squad depth. Several academy graduates have stepped up and shown they can handle Premier League football.
As the Reds begin on a difficult note, it would be best to wait before wagering upon them to win the title. Especially since one is not aware yet of how long they would take to get into their best gear.
- Liverpool outright best bet: Liverpool to win the league at 2.75 on Stake
Profitability
Draw bets have delivered strong profits, particularly in Liverpool’s away fixtures. Backing the draw would’ve produced +15.84 units in 2023/24 and +4.93 units in 2022/23.
Goals market
Liverpool had more games in 23/24 and 24/25 where both teams scored compared to 22/23. That 2022/23 campaign saw them finish only fifth in the league standings.
The Reds have become far more reliable at striking first. They opened the scoring in 47% of matches in 22/23, but that number jumped to 66% last season.
If this trend keeps up, it might be a good idea to back the Reds to score first this season. Look for odds of 1.52 or higher.
Liverpool’s matches have had three or more goals in the past three seasons. With their boosted attacking options, Liverpool look set for another season full of high-scoring matches in 25/26. Over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable play at odds of 1.59 or better.
Final Thoughts
Liverpool is still a top team in the Premier League, both on the field and with bettors. From the Liverpool First Half Goals Betting Strategy to plain title bets, there are many paths for bookmakers to bet on. The team has had some challenging early matches. Their strong attack and deep squad hint at a thrilling, high-scoring season to come. Betting responsibly, with facts and moderation, could make Reds loyalty even more rewarding.
